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多市场交易者使用斐波那契回撤的方法

这就是支撑和阻力可以发挥作用的地方。支撑和阻力可以作为一种风险管理机制来提供帮助,因为它提供了交易者实施策略的框架。比方说,一个交易者看涨欧元 / 美元,但在选择交易时机或管理风险方面有困难。与其像 FOMO (害怕错过)那样追高,交易者可以简单地等待一些支撑因素出现,这时可以研究看涨头寸。然后,交易者可以实施一个如果 - 那么 (if-then) 的声明:如果市场仍然看涨,如果货币对将继续建立看涨的结构,那么这个支撑应该保持,我将能够继续交易。否则,可以退出交易,以减少损失为目标,交易者可以简单地寻找以后在一个更有利的价格做多。

如何利用斐波那契数列识别支撑位和阻力位

有很多方法可以找到支撑和阻力,寻找水平的机制可以从极其简单到难以置信的华丽。其中一种看似更高级的方法实际上使用起来非常简单,这源于斐波那契数字序列。这个序列,或者至少是它的一部分,如下 :1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597.

序列中的下一个数字可以通过将前两个数字相加得到,这个过程一直持续到无穷。这个序列的有趣之处在于其中的数学关系。每个数字都是前一个数字数值的 1.618 倍。这被称为 "Phi" ,或通常被称为黄金比例,这在我们面前的整个世界都可以找到:在建筑或艺术中,甚至在自然界中,松果的螺旋比例或兔子的繁殖周期。

对交易者来说,斐波那契的重要性在于处理序列中的数学关系。序列中的每个数字(初始部分之后)都是下一个数字价值的 61.8% 。因此, 34 除以 55 是 0.618 ,而 55 除以 89 也是 0.618 。这种关系将持续到无限长,这是交易者图表中斐波那契研究的一个关键变量。

这通常会被绘制成一个主要价格走势的 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位。

再进一步说,序列中的每个数字除以后面的两个数字就是 38.2% 。因此, 34 除以 89 是 0.382 ,而 89 除以 233 也是如此。

这也将被绘制在斐波那契回撤研究中,这将显示在主要走势的 38.2% 斐波那契回撤位。

23.6% 的斐波那契回撤来自于将序列中的任何数字,除以其右边的三个数字。所以 34 除以 144 是 0.236 , 55 除以 233 也是如此。同样,这种关系将持续到无限长,这给了我们另一个回撤水平,我们可以将其添加到我们的图表中。

总的来说,这产生了基于之前主要走势的潜在支撑 / 如何在斐波那契水平交易趋势回撤位 Olymp Trade 阻力水平,这些区间显示为 23.6% 、 38.2% 和 61.8% ,如下图所示。

英镑 / 美元周线图:斐波纳契数列应用于 " 英国脱欧 " 的走势(红色)

图表由 James Stanley 使用 Tradingview 编制

如果你见过斐波那契应用于交易图表,你可能见过一些额外的水平,这些水平有点主观,因为它们不是 " 真正的 " 斐波那契水平。中间标记,或 50% 的 " 回撤位 " 通常是图表上的一个固定点。它没有任何斐波那契的价值,只是标志着所分析的走势的中点。

另一个具有一定价值的常见水平是 78.6% 。在斐波那契回撤位上加上这个水平,可以提供一种平衡感,因为有两个水平在 50% 标记之上,两个水平在 50% 标记之下。 0.786 的数值确实有一些斐波那契的含义,因为这是 0.618 的平方根;而且 78.6% 的回撤位通常会被视为 " 深度 " 回撤或潜在的反转。

如何交易斐波纳契支撑位和阻力位

斐波那契回撤位可以像其他潜在的支撑或阻力机制一样被利用:仅仅是潜在的,直到它开始发挥作用,在这一点上这时它为交易者提供了一个执行 “ 如果 - 那么 ” 声明的机会。如果支撑位保持住了,那么这个交易就能很好地进行下去。如果支撑位没有守住,那就赶紧离开,到其他地方寻找更好的机会。

应用斐波那契回撤的起点是找到一个值得注意的主要走势,然后从走势的起点到终点应用该指标。下面是应用于英镑 / 美元的斐波那契回撤,主要是围绕英国脱欧产生的主要走势。这将 2016 年 6 月的高点 1.5006 下降到同年 10 月的低点 1.1950 。注意在 23.6 、 38.2 、 50 、 61.8 和 78.6 的特定间隔画出的水平线:这些都是斐波那契回撤位,当价格继续回调时,交易者可以寻找支撑和 / 或阻力。

英镑/美元价格走势周线图表

图表由 James Stanley 在 Tradingview 编制

从上图可以看出,这一重大变动产生的回撤水平在实际发生两年多后仍然具有重要性。今天的短期支撑位 38.2% 回撤位 1.3117 在过去几周一直在发挥作用;在此之前,今年 8 月中旬的支撑位 23.6% 出现了相当激进的看涨反转。

回到 4 月份,英镑出现了截然不同的调性,当时同一斐波那契的 78.6% 回撤位帮助标记了该货币对在 1.4350 附近的年度高点。这实际上在今年早些时候发生了两次,因为在大反转开始显示之前,这一阻力帮助标记了一个双顶的形成。

但即使在这个顶部形成之前,当英镑 / 美元在 2017 年的大部分时间里从 2016 年英国脱欧导致的抛售中恢复时,这个上升趋势在斐波那契结构中回旋。然后是之前阻力位 23.6 转为支撑。类似的情况发生在 38.2% 回撤位,以及主要走势的 50% 中点。

英镑 / 美元日线价格图:关注 2017 年英镑 / 美元的看涨走势

图表由 James Stanley 在 Tradingview 编制

在股票上的应用

斐波那契回调也可以在短期和长期的基础上被用于整个股票指数。美国股市今年早些时候发生的修正有助于标志着道琼斯工业平均指数的 38.2% 回调,即 2016 年总统选举当晚的低点至 2018 年 如何在斐波那契水平交易趋势回撤位 Olymp Trade 1 月的高点。

道琼斯指数日线图:大选后 38.2% 的回撤标志着年初的修正

图表由 James Stanley 在 Tradingview 编制

而从短期来看,近期美股的抛售标志着此前第三季度以来看涨趋势的 61.8% 回撤,并且在 50% 和 38.2% 标记处出现了后续的短期日内支撑和阻力。

外汇应用程序指标圣杯免费下载

Hi Guys! I'm just looking for 外汇应用程序指标圣杯免费下载 , does anybody have any idea where I can download it for free?

4 answers

Answer from Gator54
15 days ago, 361

You can download it here: 外汇应用程序指标圣杯免费下载 . To get a free trial you have to register. The process is quick and easy!

The link was confirmed.

Everything is great, thanks!

Answer from Gator54
15 days ago, 163

If you like my answer please click "Like" ;)

Answer from MrCyclone
15 days ago, 145

Great, that's exactly what I've just searched.

Answer from CleverBOT
Robot 8 days ago, 85

Since there was 如何在斐波那契水平交易趋势回撤位 Olymp Trade no activity in the topic for 7 days, the topic was closed. To continue the conversation, create a new question.

Does anyone know where to download civillisation 5 for 如何在斐波那契水平交易趋势回撤位 Olymp Trade free?

Minecraft Free and Full Version Download?

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Our mission is to allow millions of people to help each other. Anonymous & Fast!

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This site respects the intellectual property rights of all content creators, whether their work is affiliated with our site or not. If you have reason to suspect that your intellectual property rights have been infringed in any way that connects to our site, we strongly advise that you contact our copyright agent with a complaint as soon as possible. We take all violations of the Digital Millennium Copyright Act of 1998 extremely seriously. In order to ensure your complaint remains legitimate under the DCMA, please ensure your copyright complaint contains all of the following information:

- A signature, electronic or physical, of an individual who has been authorized to represent you, the copyright holder

- Clear identification of the copyrighted item(s) in question, as well as identification of the work(s) infringing on the copyright holder’s intellectual property rights

- Contact information for you, the copyright holder, that we can use to contact you, including your full name, telephone number, physical address and e-mail address

- A written letter stating that you, the copyright holder, “in good faith believes that the use of the material in the manner complained of is not authorized by the copyright owner, its agent or the law”

- A statement that the «information in the 如何在斐波那契水平交易趋势回撤位 Olymp Trade notification is accurate», and «under penalty of perjury, the complaining party is authorized to act on behalf of the owner of an exclusive right that is allegedly infringed»

The statement of complaint that you provide us, containing all of the above information, should be sent to our Designated Copyright Agent by post, fax or email to one of the respective contact addresses below:

PLEASE REMEMBER THAT IF YOU CHOOSE TO MISREPRESENT ANY OF THE DETAILS REGARDING AN ALLEGED COPYRIGHT INFRINGEMENT, YOU WILL BE SUBJECT TO SERIOUS CIVIL PENALTIES UNDER FEDERAL LAW, INCLUDING ANY MONETARY DAMAGES, COURT COSTS AND LAWYERS FEES ACCRUED BY US, AND ANY COPYRIGHT HOLDERS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDER’S LICENSEES WHO ARE INJURED IN ANY CAPACITY FOLLOWING OUR RELIANCE ON THE VERACITY OF YOUR REPRESENTATION. YOU COULD ALSO BE CRIMINALLY PROSECUTED FOR ACTS OF PERJURY. Do not take anything outlined in this document as formal legal advice. For further information on the details required to lodge a formal DMCA notification, please refer to 17 U.S.C. 512(c)(3).